WHAT IF TRUMP TOOK THE US OUT OF NATO?

Author: Derrick Wyatt K.C., Emeritus Professor of Law, University of Oxford. Former adviser to Fide.

The next US Presidential election will be in November 2024. With Trump and Biden neck to neck in the opinion polls, a Trump win seems a distinct possibility. That would place in doubt US support for Ukraine and commitment to NATO, and it could even lead to US withdrawal from the alliance. Either scenario would profoundly affect NATO's European allies. Could they and would they rally round and fill any US defense deficit?

TRUMP'S SCARY DOMESTIC AGENDA IF REELECTED

  1. On his first day in office, Trump says he'd appoint a special counsel to investigate Joe Biden’s family, including his son Hunter and his family’s revenues.

FLANDERS INTERNATIONAL

  1. Austria, Vienna (Jurisdiction: Austria, Hungtary, Slovenia, Slovakia, Czech Republic)
  2. Belgium, Brussels (Jurisdiction: EU)
  3. Denmark, Copenhagen (Jurisdiction: Denmark, Finland, Norway, Sweden)
  4. France, Paris (Jurisdiction France, Unesco, Oecd, Council of Europe)
  5. Germany, Berlin (Jurisdiction: Germany)
  6. Italy, Rome (Jurisction: Italy, FAO, WFP, IFAD)
  7. Netherlands, The Hague (Jurisdiction: Netherlands)
  8. Poland, Warsaw: Jurisdiction, Poland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania)

WALLONIA-BRUSSELS INTERNATIONAL

General Delegations

EXTREME RIGHT IN EU COUNTRIES

  1. In the Netherlands the far-right populist PVV (Freedom Party), led by Geert Wilders is expected to win between 35 and 37 of the 150 seats in the Dutch House of Representatives; it previously held just 16.
  2. In Poland, the Law and Justice party (PiS) lost its majority in the October 2023 parliamentary elections. Nevertheless, it remains in front, and the PiS currently holds 35 percent of seats (42 percent when including its coalition partners).

IT’S NOT ENOUGH FOR UKRAINE TO WIN, RUSSIA HAS TO LOSE

Author: Eliot A. Cohen: Eliot Cohen is a contributing writer at The Atlantic. He is the Arleigh Burke Chair in Strategy at the Center for Strategic and International Studies,

QUO VADIS, DONALD TRUMP?

A Review of The Dangerous Case of Donald Trump: 27 Psychiatrists and Mental Health Experts Assessment of Trump

PARADIPLOMACY AND THE EU

At the broadest level, there are three layers of paradiplomacy:

PREPARING FOR A POSSIBLE TRUMP REVIVAL

Given the possibility of Trump's return to the White House, the European Union and its member states should make preparations for the storm. To better weather it, they need to focus on "subnational diplomacy" to promote municipal and other regional engagement among friendly nations. Strengthening local-level ties could help broaden ties with the U.S. beyond those formed among national governments and armed forces, making it possible to soften the impact of a leadership change in Washington.

TRUMP’S INTERNATIONAL AGENDA IF RE-ELECTED

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