1. Russia will collapse over the next decade: The Kremlin’s war against Ukraine will precipitate Russia into a failed state or break up internally by 2034 because of revolution, civil war, political disintegration, or some other reason.
2. Russia will not engage in a direct fight with the United States and NATO because the conflict in Ukraine can be contained to that country and the war has exposed Russia as too weak to take the fight directly to NATO.

Author: Harvey Mansfield, Professor of Government at Harvard University, a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution, and the author of Manliness (Yale University Press, 2006).

1. Alabama Policy Institute   
2. Alliance Defending Freedom   
3. America First Legal   
4. American Accountability Foundation  
5. American Association of Pro-Life Obstetricians and Gynecologists   
6. ACLJ Action 
7. American Compass   
8. American Cornerstone Institute   
9. American Council of Trustees and Alumni   
10. American Family Association  
11. American Family Project  
12. American Legislative Exchange Council   
13. American Juris Link  
14. AMAC Action 
15. American Moment   

January

• Finland presidential election January 28

February

• Belarus parliamentary election February 25

March

• Portugal parliamentary election March 10
• Russia presidential election March 17

April

• Slovakia presidential election

May

Proposal for a DIRECTIVE OF THE EUROPEAN PARLIAMENT AND OF THE COUNCIL establishing harmonised requirements in the internal market on transparency of interest representation carried out on behalf of third countries and amending Directive (EU) 2019/1937

CHAPTER I – GENERAL PROVISIONS

Article 1 Object and purpose

In the broader global framework of uncertainty and change, it is likely that the struggle over the future European security order will continue until one or the other side is too exhausted to continue. One can envisage the following three basic scenarios after the war in Ukraine, with the two first ones based on the assumption that there will be no principled change in Russia’s vision of European security, and the third one – more idealistic but unfortunately less likely – predicated on a radical change inside Russia.

Author: Rudolf G. Adam, Former vice president of Germany’s Federal Intelligence Service.

Published 2023 by Cambridge University Press on behalf of the Foundation of the Leiden Journal of International Law in association with the Grotius Centre for International Law, Leiden University)

The Kremlin promotes a variety of anti-Western and pro-Russian ``master narratives'' across its propaganda platforms, both within Russia and abroad. Russian government propagandists subscribe to these narratives and follow them to craft and frame disinformation campaigns that advance the Kremlin's positions and interests. Master narratives employed by Kremlin propagandists, include the following:

The Russian-West conflict is perceived as a confrontation of the systems of values: traditional and conservative values versus tolerance-blemished European ones; spiritual Russian ones versus material European ones.