PROJECTIONS FOR THE 23-26 MAY EP ELECTIONS

Losses are projected for the People’s Party and for Socialists and Democrats, while the Liberal Alliance, the Greens and the Left hold their ground.

Excellent performances for the sovereign and Eurosceptic political groups, above all the Hungarian Fidesz, the Italian League and the French Rassemblement National.

A more fragmented European Parliament without pre-established majorities and with an increased sovereign and Eurosceptic presence, albeit still a minority one, is the picture of the EU Assembly that emerges from projections of the May vote

THE IMPORTANCE OF THE BLACK SEA FOR RUSSIA

The unique geography of the Black Sea region confers several geopolitical advantages to Russia. The Black Sea holds a special significance for Russia  for several reasons. Firstly, it is an important crossroads and strategic intersection for the entire region. Access to the Black Sea is vital for all littoral and neighboring states, and greatly enhances the projection of power into several adjacent regions. Secondly, the region is an important transit corridor for goods and energy.

EU-CHINA STRATEGIC OUTLOOK

The European Commission set out a 10-point plan for more balanced economic relations with China, urging EU leaders to back its ideas to curb Chinese state-owned enterprises and increase their guard against cybersecurity threats. The action plan marks a shift in the EU’s  stance toward its top trading partner.

The Commission said the European Union should cooperate more with China in areas such as climate change and peace, but should also push for a more reciprocal economic relationship and take steps to protect its industry.

U.S. DUPLICITY OVER GOLAN DEMOLISHES POSTURING ON CRIMEA

Author: Fianan Cunningham

In a controversial snub to international law, the United States has signaled that it is moving to officially recognize the Golan Heights as part of Israeli territory. If the US does so, then it forfeits any moral authority to sanction Russia over allegations of “annexing Crimea”.

THE EU OFFER TO THE UK

MATTEO SALVINI: IL CAPITANO

Contemporary Italians perceive a strong and charismatic leader as a shield against disorder, someone to protect them. Promises of more police and more security are reassuring to those Italians who see today’s enemy in immigrants and in the European Union with all its rules including its Euro currency. The new man is 45-year old Matteo Salvini nicknamed The Captain/Il Capitano, co-Vice Premier and simultaneously Minister of the Interior, the most powerful ministry in Italy’s political system. Matteo Salvini was born in 1973 in Milano and joined the Lega Nord in 1990 at age 17.

FIDESZ SUSPENSION

The European People’s Party (EPP) suspended Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán’s ruling Fidesz party over alleged violations of EU rule-of-law principles on Wednesday (20 March).

Fidesz will be suspended with immediate effect and until further notice following the  vote of EPP members (190 in favour, 3 against. Fidesz will no longer have any rights as a party member. Fidesz will no longer have the right to vote in any party meetings and will no longer have the right to propose candidates for posts.

THE EU POSITION ON CRIMEA

Declaration by the EU High Representative Federica Mogherini (18/03/2019)

PROJECTED GDP 2030

Source: Standard Chartered Bank

Projected GDP in 2030

CORRUPTION PERCEPTION INDEX (CPI) 2018

Source : Transparency International

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