GERMAN ELECTION: FEBRUARY 23, 2025

The CDU/CSU this time around will be led by Friedrich Merz. Barring a major and unexpected reversal in the polls, Merz of the CDU/CSU is highly likely to be Germany’s new chancellor.

National opinion polls currently have the CDU/CSU way out ahead of the others, with 32% of support from those surveyed. The AfD are currently polling in second place with 18%, the SPD in third with 16%, and the Greens with 14%.

Merz is not a newcomer to German politics, but this is his second iteration as a politician.

DEPENDANCE EUROPEENNE AUX ETATS-UNIS

Dans son palmarès annuel des cent premiers industriels de l'armement, dont la version 2024 vient d'être publiée (6), le SIPRI rappelle combien l'industrie mondiale de l'équipement militaire est toujours plus dominée par les fournisseurs américains, avec 41 groupes classés dans les cent premiers mondiaux, les cinq dominants restant accrochés à leur podium, année après année (7).

PUBLIC POLICY ADVOCACY NOT THREATENED BY AI

Public Policy Advocacy demands nuanced judgment, negotiation skills, and a deep understanding of human behavior and ethics. While AI can assist with research and document review, the core functions of advocacy remain inherently human. Public Policy Advocates rely on their ability to interpret the law within the context of human circumstances, a task AI is not equipped to handle.

LEVERAGING AI FOR POLICY ANALYSIS

In today’s rapidly evolving political landscape, policy analysis has become more critical than ever. With the advent of artificial intelligence (AI) organizations can now navigate the complexities of policy changes with greater precision and efficiency.

POTENTIAL IMPACT OF AI ON THE PUBLIC AFFAIRS INDUSTRY

As the world grows increasingly interconnected, the public affairs industry finds itself at the crossroads of change. One of the most transformative forces shaping this change is Artificial Intelligence (AI). From public policy monitoring, data analysis to stakeholder engagement, AI promises to redefine how public affairs professionals operate.

AI FOR STAKEHOLDER MAPPING

AI-driven features that can enhance the process of Stakeholder Mapping include natural language processing (NLP) for analyzing large volumes of textual data, sentiment analysis for understanding stakeholder opinions and attitudes, and network analysis for identifying relationships and influence among stakeholders. AI can also automate data collection from various sources, such as social media platforms and news articles, to provide real-time insights on stakeholder behavior and engagement.

THE EUROPEAN ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE OFFICE

The European Artificial Intelligence Office is part of the administrative structure of the Directorate-General for Communication Networks, Content and Technology (

Mission and tasks

1.   The Office shall perform the tasks set out in Article 3 for the purposes of implementing and enforcing the forthcoming Regulation laying down harmonised rules on artificial intelligence (the ‘forthcoming Regulation’).

2.   The Office shall has the following additional tasks:

AI AND PUBLIC POLICY ADVOCACY

AI has many potential applications in the field of public policy advocacy. This includes data analysis, predictive analytics, communications, stakeholder mapping, and policy issue tracking.

POLITICAL MONITORING BEST PRACTICES

Today, staying informed about political developments is crucial. Effective political monitoring allows entrepreneurs to anticipate changes, respond to emerging issues, and make informed decisions.

IMAGINING TRUMP 2.0

If Trump is elected, the implications for Europe will go well beyond the issues of Ukraine and European security. The Trump administration will challenge European policymakers across a range of issues: from China to trade, climate to the Middle East. Worse, another nightmare lurks beneath the potential foreign policy shocks: an international coalition that could emerge as a framework for populists in Europe to establish special ties with Trump’s Washington. Trump’s re-election might well embolden the populist right in Europe to obstruct common EU policies and initiatives more forcefully.

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