EUROPEAN ELECTIONS ELECTORAL MATH

1. ID projected to have 68 lawmakers in the next EP
2. ECR projected to have 71 lawmakers in the next EP

But there will be horse-trading after the election, with parties switching between groups. Maybe the AfD rejoins ID? Maybe there’s a new faction created? What about Hungarian PM Viktor Orbán’s Fidesz, which is polling at around 10 MEPs who don’t currently sit with any group?

If we add the projected totals for ID, ECR, AfD and Fidesz together, that comes to 166 MEPs out of 720.