Home /EUROPEAN ELECTIONS: TENTATIVE DISTRIBUTION FORECAST OF VOTES BY COUNTRY AND PARTIES

EUROPEAN ELECTIONS: TENTATIVE DISTRIBUTION FORECAST OF VOTES BY COUNTRY AND PARTIES

Submitted by christian on Mon, 05/12/2014 - 14:38

As it stands now Austria’s 18 seats are divided among 5 parties; Belgium’s 21 seats are divided among 12 parties; Bulgaria’s 17 seats are divided among 6 parties, Croatian’s 11 seats are divided among 6 parties; Cyprus’ 6 seats are divided among 3 parties; Czech Republic’s 21 seats are divided among 6 parties; Denmark’s 13 seats are divided among 5 parties; Estonia’s 6 seats are divided among 4 parties; Finland’s 13 seats are divided among 6 parties; France’s 74 seats are divided among 7 parties; Germany’s 96 seats are divided among 9 parties; Greece’s 21 seats are divided among 7 parties; Hungary’s 21 seats are divided among 4 parties; Ireland’s 11 seats are divided among 5 parties; Italy’s 73 seats are divided among 7 parties; Latvia’s 8 seats are divided among 6 parties; Lithuania’s 11 seats are divided among 5 parties; Luxembourg’s 6 seats are divided among 4 parties; Malta’s 6 seats are divided among 2 parties; Netherland’s 26 seats are divided among 9 parties; Poland’s 51 seats are divided among 8 parties; Portugal's 21 seats are divided among 4 parties; Romania’s 32 seats are divided among 5 parties; Slovakia’s 13 seats are divided among 8 parties; Slovenia’s 8 seats are divided among 5 parties; Spain’s 54 seats are divided among 7 parties; Sweden’s 20 seats are divided among 6 parties and the UK and Northern Ireland’s 73 seats are divided among 10 parties.

Austria (18 seats) Pop. 8.3 Million

  1. Sozialdemokratische Partei Österreichs (S&D) 24% 5 seats
  2. Österreichische Volkspartei (EPP) 24% 5 seats
  3. Freiheitliche Partei Österreichs (NI) 19% 4 seats
  4. Neos- Das Neue Österreich und Liberales Forum (ALDE/ADLE) 14% 2 seats
  5. Die Grünen- Die Grüne Alternative (Greens/EFA) 13% 2 seats

Belgium (21 seats) Pop. 10.7 Million

  1. Nieuw-Vlaamse Alliantie (Greens/EFA) 20.7% 4 seats
  2. Vlaamse Liberalen en Democraten (ALDE/ADLE) 11.5% 2 seats
  3. Christen-Democratisch & Vlaams (EPP) 10.7% 2 seats
  4. Parti Socialiste (S&D) 10.2% 3 seats
  5. Socialistische Partij.Anders (S&D) 8.6% 2 seats
  6. Mouvement Réformateur (ALDE/ADLE) 8.4% 2 seats
  7. Vlaams Belang (NI) 6.4% 1 seat
  8. Groen (Greens/EFA) 4.9% 1 seat
  9. Ecologistes Confédérés pour l’Organisation de Luttes Originales (Greens/EFA) 3.9% 1 seat
  10. Centre Démocrate Humaniste 3.7% (EPP) 1 seat
  11. Parti du Travail de Belgique (GUE-NGL) 3% 1 seat
  12. Fédéralistes Démocrates Francophones (ALDE/ADLE) 1.4% 0
  13. Christlich Soziale Partei (EPP) 0.2% 1 seat

Bulgaria (17 seats) Pop. 7.6 Million

  1. Grazhdani za evropeysko razvitie na Balgariya (EPP) 29.3% 5 seats
  2. Koalitsiya za Bulgaria (S&D) 26.5% 5 seats
  3. Dvizhenie za Prava I Svobodi (ALDE/ADLE) 10.3% 2 seats
  4. Bulgaria bez Tsenzura (NI) 8.2% 2 seats
  5. Alternativa za Bulgarsko Vuzeazhdane (NI) 7.5% 2 seats
  6. Reformtaorski Blok (EPP) 7.4% 1 seat
  7. Nationalno Obedinenie Ataka (NI) 4.2% 0

Crotia (11 seats) Pop. 4.5 million

  1. Koalicija Kukuriku (Socijaldemokratska partija Hrvatske) (S&D) 27.8% 2 seats
  2. Koalicija Kukuriku (Hrvatska narodna stranka / Istarski demokratski sabor) (ALDE/ADLE) 2 seats
  3. Koalicija Hrvatska demokratska zajednica (EPP) 26.6% 4 seats
  4. Odrzivi Razvoj Hrvatske (Greens/EFA) 12.5% 1 seat
  5. Hrvatski laburisti - stranka rada (GUE-NGL) 10.2% 1 seat
  6. Savez za Hrvatsku (NI) 7.1% 1 seat
  7. Nacionalni forum-Hrvatska socijalno liberalna stranka (ALDE/ADLE) 3.7% 0
  8. Independent list Milan Bandić (NI) 3.3% 0

Cyprus (6 seats) Pop. 0.8 Million

  1. Dimokratikos Synagermos (EPP) 41% 3 seats
  2. Anorthotiko Komma Ergazomenou Laou (GUE-NGL) 26.1% 2 seats
  3. Dimokratiko Komma (S&D) 13.2% 1 seat
  4. Kinima Sosialdimokraton Eniaia Dimokratiki Enosi Kentrou (S&D) 9.1% 0
  5. Citizen’s Alliance Party (NI) 6.3% 0

Czech Republic (21 seats) Pop. 10.5 Million

  1. Akce nespokojených občanů (NI) 21.9% 7 seats
  2. Česká strana sociálně demokratická (S&D) 19.5% 6 seats
  3. Komunistická strana Čech a Moravy (GUE-NGL) 15.2% 4 seats
  4. Tradice Odpovednost Prosperita 09 (EPP) 8.3% 2 seats
  5. Občanská demokratická strana ( ECR)5.7% 1 seat
  6. Křesťanská a demokratická unie - Československá strana lidová (EPP) 5.5% 1 seat
  7. Národní socialisté – levice 21. století (NI) 0
  8. Česká pirátská strana (Greens/EFA) 3.5% 0
  9. Strana zelených (Greens/EFA) 3.5% 0
  10. Úsvit přímé demokracie Tomia Okamury (NI) 3.3% 0
  11. Veci verejné (ALDE/ADLE) 3.1% 0

Denmark (13 seats) Pop. 5.5 Million

  1. Dansk Folkeparti (EFD) 25.4% 4 seats
  2. Venstre (ALDE/ADLE) 23.5% 4 seats
  3. Socialdemokraterne (S&D) 21.7% 3 seats
  4. Folkebevægelsen mod EU (GUE-NGL) 10.1% 1 seat
  5. Det Radikale Venstre (ALDE/ADLE) 6.2% 1 seat
  6. Socialistisk Folkeparti (Greens/EFA) 5.6% 0
  7. Det Konservative Folkeparti (EPP) 4.5% 0

Estonia (6 seats) Pop. 1.3 Million

  1. Sotsiaaldemokraatlik Erakond (S&D) 28% 2 seats
  2. Eesti Reformierakond (ALDE/ADLE) 25% 2 seats
  3. Eesti Keskerakond (ALDE/ADLE) 22% 1 seat
  4. Isamaa ja Res Publica Liit (EPP) 19% 1 seat

Finland (13 seats) Pop. 5.3 Million

  1. Suomen Keskusta (ALDE/ADLE) 21% 3 seats
  2. Kansallinen Kokoomus (EPP) 20.2% 3 seats
  3. Perussuomalaiset (EFD) 17.6% 3 seats
  4. Suomen Sosialidemokraattinen Puolue (S&D) 15.8% 2 seats
  5. Vasemmistoliitto (GUE-NGL) 8.8% 1 seat
  6. Vihreä liitto (Greens/EFA) 8.2% 1 seat
  7. Svenska folkpartiet (ALDE/ADLE) 4.3% 0
  8. Kristillisdemokraatit (EPP) 3.5% 0

France (74 seats) Pop. 64.3 Million

  1. Front national (NI) 23.5% 22 seats
  2. Union pour un Mouvement Populaire (EPP) 22.5% 20 seats
  3. Parti Socialiste (S&D) 18.5% 14 seats
  4. Mouvement Démocrate-Union des démocrates et indépendants (ALDE/ADLE) 10% 6 seats
  5. Europe Ecologie- Les Verts (Greens/EFA) 9% 6 seats
  6. Front de Gauche (GUE-NGL) 8% 5 seats
  7. Nouveau parti anticapitaliste (GUE-NGL) 4% 0
  8. Debout la République (EFD) 1 seat

Germany (96 seats) Pop. 82 Million

  1. Christlich Demokratische Union Deutschlands/Christlich-Soziale Union in Bayern (EPP) 38% 37 seats
  2. Sozialdemokratische Partei Deutschlands (S&D) 27.3% 27 seats
  3. Bündnis 90/Die Grünen (Greens/EFA) 10.3% 10 seats
  4. Die Linke (GUE-NGL) 8.3% 8 seats
  5. Alternattive für Deutschland (NI) 6.3% 6 seats
  6. Frei Demokratische Partei (ALDE/ADLE) 3.7% 4 seats
  7. Piraten (NI) 2.2% 2 seats
  8. Nationaldemokratische Partei Deutschlands (NI) 1.3% 1 seat
  9. Freie Wähler (ALDE/ADLE) 1% 1 seat

Greece (21 seats) Pop. 11.2 Million

  1. Nea Dimokratia (EPP) 26.7% 6 seats
  2. Synaspismós Rizospastikís Aristerás (GUE-NGL) 26.5% 6 seats
  3. To Potami (NI) 11.8% 3 seats
  4. Chrysi Aygi (NI) 7.4% 2 seats
  5. Kommounistiko Komma Elladas (GUE-NGL) 7% 2 seats
  6. Elia - Dimokratiki Parataxi (S&D) 5.8% 1 seat
  7. Anexartitoi Ellines (EFD) 4.4% 1 seat
  8. Dimokratiki Aristera (S&D) 2.5% 0

Hungary (21 seats) Pop. 10 Million

  1. Fidesz-KDNP (EPP) 46.6% 10 seats
  2. JOBBIK MAGYARORSZÁGÉRT MOZGALOM (NI) 22.2% 5 seats
  3. Összefogás (S&D) 21.4% 5 seats
  4. Lehet Más a Politika (Greens/EFA) 5.3% 1 seat

Ireland (11 seats) Pop. 4.5 Million

  1. Fine Gael (EPP) 26.1% 4 seats
  2. Independents/Others (ALDE/ADLE) 21.9% 1 seat
  3. Independents/Others (NI) 1 seat
  4. Fianna Fáil (ALDE/ADLE) 20.1% 2 seats
  5. Sinn Féin (GUE-NGL) 18.9% 3 seats
  6. Labour Party (S&D) 8.6% 0
  7. Green Party (Greens/EFA) 4.4% 0

Italy (73 seats) Pop. 60 Million

  1. Partito Democratico (S&D) 32.2% 27 seats
  2. Movimento a 5 Stelle (NI) 25.4% 21 seats
  3. Forza Italia (EPP) 19.2% 16 seats
  4. Nuovo Centro Destra (EPP) 5.4% 4 seats
  5. Lega Nord (EFD) 5.3% 4 seats
  6. Fratelli d’Italia (NI) 3.8% 0
  7. L’Altra Europa-Con Tsipras (GUE-NGL) 3.7% 0
  8. Scelta Europa (ALDE/ADLE) 2.6% 0
  9. Südtiroler Volkspartei (EPP) 0.5% 1 seat

Latvia (8 seats) Pop. 2.3 Million

  1. Saskaņas Centrs (Latvijas Sociālistiskā partija) (GUE-NGL) 35.6% 2 seats
  2. Saskaņas Centrs (Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija „Saskaņa”) (S&D) 1 seat
  3. Vienotiba (PS+JL+SCP) (EPP) 23% 2 seats
  4. Zalo un Zemnieku savieniba (NI) 16.7% 1 seat
  5. Nacionala Apvieniba (TB/LNNK+VL) (ECR) 11% 1 seat
  6. No sirds Latvijai (NI) 8.3% 1 seat

Lithuania (11 seats) Pop. 3.3 Million

  1. Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija (S&D) 30.1% 5 seats
  2. Tvarka ir teisingumas (EFD) 17.7% 2 seats
  3. Tėvynės sąjunga - Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai (EPP) 14.4% 2 seats
  4. Darbo partija (ALDE/ADLE) 11.2% 1 seat
  5. Lietuvos Respublikos liberalų sąjūdis (ALDE/ADLE) 7.3% 1 seat
  6. Valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga (NI) 5.7% 0
  7. Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija (ECR) 4.5% 0
  8. Žaliųjų partija (Greens/EFA) 4.4% 0

Luxembourg (6 seats) Pop. 0.5 Million

  1. Chrëschtlech Sozial Vollekspartei (EPP) 35.3% 3 seats
  2. Lëtzebuerger Sozialistesch Arbechterpartei (S&D) 20% 1 seat
  3. Demokratesch Partei (ALDE/ADLE) 16.6% 1 seat
  4. Déi Gréng (Greens/EFA) 10% 1 seat
  5. Alternativ Demokratesch Reformpartei (NI) 7.1% 0
  6. Déi Lénk (GUE-NGL) 5.7% 0

Malta (6 seats) Pop. 0.4 Million

  1. Partit Laburista (S&D) 54.5% 3 seats
  2. Partit Nazzjonalista (EPP) 42.5% 3 seats
  3. Alternattiva Demokratika (Greens/EFA) 2.2% 0

Netherlands (26 seats) Pop. 16.4 Million

  1. Partij voor de Vrijheid (NI) 16.5% 5 seats
  2. Democraten 66 (ALDE/ADLE) 15.1% 4 seats
  3. Volkspartij voor Vrijheid en Democratie (ALDE/ADLE) 14.7% 4 seats
  4. Christen Democratisch Appèl (EPP) 12.6% 3 seats
  5. Socialistische Partij (GUE-NGL) 11.5% 3 seats
  6. Partij van de Arbeid (S&D) 9.6% 3 seats
  7. ChristenUnie/SGP (ECR) 8.5% 2 seats
  8. GroenLinks (Greens/EFA) 4.1% 1 seat
  9. 50PLUS (NI) 3.4% 1 seat

Poland (51 seats) Pop. 38.1 Million

  1. Platforma Obywatelska (EPP) 32.5% 18 seats
  2. Prawo i Sprawiedliwość (ECR) 30.3% 16 seats
  3. Sojusz Lewicy Demokratycznej-Unia Pracy (S&D) 11.5% 6 seats
  4. Kongres Nowej Prawicy (NI) 7% 3 seats
  5. Europa Plus - Twój Ruch (S&D) (S&D) 5.6% 2 seats
  6. Europa Plus - Twój Ruch (ALDE) (ALDE/ADLE) 1 seat
  7. Polskie Stronnictwo Ludowe (EPP) 5.6% 3 seats
  8. Polska Razem Jarosława Gowina (ECR) 5% 2 seats
  9. Solidarna Polska (EFD) 2.5% 0

Portugal (21 seats) Pop. 10.6 Million

  1. Partido Socialista (S&D) 41.3% 10 seats
  2. Partido Social Democrata- Democrático Social (EPP) 34.6% 8 seats
  3. Coligação Democrática Unitária (GUE-NGL) 11.4% 2 seats
  4. Bloco de Esquerda (GUE-NGL) 5.5% 1 seat

Romania (32 seats) Pop. 21.5 Million

  1. Uniunea Social Democrată (S&D) 44.2% 13 seats
  2. Partidul Naţional Liberal (ALDE/ADLE) 15.8% 7 seats
  3. Partidul Democrat Liberal (EPP) 10.5% 5 seats
  4. Partidul Mişcarea Populară (EPP) 9.5% 4 seats
  5. Uniunea Democrată Maghiară din România (EPP) 6.3% 3 seats
  6. Forţa Civică (EPP) 4.2% 0
  7. Partidul Poporului Dan Diaconescu (NI) 3.2% 0

Slovakia (13 seats) Pop. 5.4 Million

  1. Smer - sociálna demokracia (S&D) 38% 6 seats
  2. Kresťanskodemokratické hnutie (EPP) 8.8% 1 seat
  3. Obyčajní Ľudia a nezávislé osobnosti (ECR) 8.7% 1 seat
  4. Slovenská demokratická a kresťanská únia (EPP) 7% 1 seat
  5. Most-Hid (EPP) 6.8% 1 seat
  6. Slovenská národná strana (EFD) 6.7% 1 seat
  7. Sloboda a Solidarita (ALDE/ADLE) 5.8% 1 seat
  8. Strana mad'arskej koalície - Magyar Koalíció Pártja (EPP) 5.5% 1 seat
  9. Nova Vacsina (NI) 4.6% 0

Slovenia (8 seat) Pop. 2 Million

  1. Slovenska demokratska stranka (EPP) 26.9% 3 seats
  2. Nova Slovenija-Slovenska ljudska stranka (EPP) 17.5% 2 seats
  3. Slovenska Nacionalna Stranka (NI) 10.4% 1 seat
  4. List Verjamem (NI) 10.3% 1 seat
  5. Liberalna Demokracija Slovenije (ALDE/ADLE) 7.1% 1 seat
  6. Demokratična stranka upokojencev Slovenije (NI) 6.4% 0
  7. Pozitivna Slovenija (ALDE/ADLE) 6.2% 0
  8. Socialni demokrati (S&D) 5.6% 0

Spain (54 seats) Pop. 45.8 Million)

  1. Partido Popular (EPP) 33.6% 21 seats
  2. Partido Socialista Obrero Español (S&D) 30.8% 19 seats
  3. La Izquierda Plural (Izquierda Unida) (GUE-NGL) 10.8% 5 seats
  4. La Izquierda Plural (Iniciativa per Catalunya Verds) (Greens/EFA) 1 seat
  5. Unión, Progreso y Democracia (NI) 6.1% 3 seats
  6. Coalición por Europa (Convergència Democràtica de Catalunya) (ALDE/ADLE) 4.6% 1 seat
  7. Coalición por Europa (Partido Nacionalista Vasco) (ALDE/ADLE) 1 seat

Sweden (20 seats) Pop. 9.2 Million

  1. Socialdemokratiska arbetarpartiet (S&D) 31.2% 7 seats
  2. Moderata Samlingspartiet (EPP) 21.7% 5 seats
  3. Miljöpartiet (Greens/EFA) 16.1% 4 seats
  4. Folkpartiet liberalerna (ALDE/ADLE) 8.1% 2 seats
  5. Vänsterpartiet (GUE-NGL) 5.8% 1 seat
  6. Sverigedemokraterna (NI) 4.1% 1 seat
  7. Kristdemokraterna (EPP) 3.7% 0
  8. Centerpartiet (ALDE/ADLE) 3.6% 0

United Kingdom and Northern Ireland: 73 seats

  1. UK Independence Party (EFD) 31.9% 23 seats
  2. Labour Party (S&D) 27.5% 24 seats
  3. Conservative Party (ECR) 20.4% 15 seats
  4. Liberal Democrat Party (ALDE/ADLE) 8.8% 3 seats
  5. Green Party (Greens/EFA) 7.2% 2 seats
  6. Scottish National Party (Greens/EFA) 2.1% 2 seats
  7. Democratic Unionist Party (NI) 0.9% 1 seat
  8. Sinn Féin (GUE-NGL) 0.8% 1 seat
  9. Plaid Cymru-The Party of Wales (Greens/EFA) 0.7% 1 seat
  10. Ulster Unionist Party (ECR) 0.3% 1 seat
  11. Social Democratic and Labour Party (S&D) 0.3% 0

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