Author: Jeffrey Lewis, director of the East Asia Nonproliferation Program at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies

Scenario 1: The North Koreans mistakenly believe that the US is going to launch an attack on them, and Kim Jong Un does something crazy.

Source: Bruegel

Author: Grégory Claeys, Associate Professor at the Conservatoire National des Arts et Métiers in Paris where he is teaching macroeconomics in the Master of Finance. He previously taught undergraduate macroeconomics at Sciences Po in Paris.

Myth 1: Frexit Would Unambiguously Boost French Competitiveness

Marine Le Pen

Source: EuroStat (Feb. 2017 seasonally adjusted)

The statistic shows the seasonally adjusted youth unemployment rate in Europe (EU member states) as of February 2017. The source defines youth unemployment as unemployment of those younger than 25 years.

Author: Rex Tillerson, US Secretary of State

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