AALEP PREDICTION FOR PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS IN FRANCE

AALEP Predictions

First Round

1. Marine Le Pen: 30% (a score higher than the 28.56% of François Hollande in 2012). 85% of her voters are certain of their choice.
2. François Fillon: 22-25%
3. Emmanuel Macron

Second Round (Pro System (François Fillon) against Anti-System (Marine Le Pen)

The score for the second round will be very tight because many voters on the left will abstain and stay at home rather than vote for François Fillon giving a possible victory to Marine Le Pen.