Crimea will never return to Ukraine. Russia won’t even negotiate this topic. For Moscow, it is almost a national issue. Any negotiations on the issue would discredit Russia’s national security and Moscow won’t go down this path. The Russian people would not understand it, so the negotiations can never even begin.

In the Bundestag about a quarter of its members from the parties AfD and Die Linke directly support the recognition of the Crimean peninsula as an integral part of Russia. At the official level, no country of the EU is ready to recognize Crimea as part of Russia yet, but this consensus is gradually transforming and changing. It is, however, a rather long process. The EU won’t reconsider its opinion overnight but in the next two to five years, this issues won’t be in the political agenda of Europe. Member States understand that Crimea will never return to Ukraine. But being guided by the principle of a uniform foreign policy formed in Brussels under the influence of Berlin, Paris and Washington, they can’t officially recognize it yet. Over time, the topic will be forced out of the negotiation process with Russia. Crimea is no longer a cornerstone in relations between the EU and Russia.


European Union (EU) leaders have agreed to extend economic sanctions against Russia until July 2018 over what they say is Moscow’s interference in Ukraine. The bloc accuses Russia of violating EU-brokered peace deals, known as Minsk agreements, in eastern Ukraine. It should be pointed out, however, that the Minsk agreements are not being carried out, in many respects by Kyiv, particularly the political part of the agreements. The fact of the matter is that  the Minsk agreements contain a list of political steps that Kyiv must fulfill.  Actually, if we were to do an inventory of how Ukraine is meeting it, you would have to say Ukraine is meeting it even less than Russia.

The German economy has suffered the most Export losses as a result of the sanctions against Russia (40 %) against 7.9 % for the UK, 4.1 % for France and 0.6% for the U.S. According to the Kiel’s Institute German exports suffer an average of € 618 million per month as a result of the sanctions. In 2015 alone the total cost of the Russian sanctions was estimated at € 97 billion, 61% of which fell on Russian enterprises. The total export losses amounted to € 37.5, 90% of which fell on the EU countries.




Add new comment