POSSIBLE SUWALKI CORRIDOR RUSSIAN OFFENSIVE

I. Strategic Importance of the Suwałki Corridor

The Suwałki Corridor is a narrow, 65-kilometer strip of land linking Poland to Lithuania between Belarus and Kaliningrad, two heavily militarized regions under Russian influence. It is the only land route for NATO forces to reach Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania. Control of this corridor could isolate the Baltic states and create a fait accompli, forcing NATO into a high-risk decision: escalate or accept defeat.

II. Russian Objectives